Weekly Thoughts
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Japanese stocks stall as investors digest the sudden demand pull
Although US market rally looks to be broadening, Japan’s stock market stalled somewhat as generally weaker earnings provided some headwinds in the short term as investors struggled to digest the sudden demand…
February 3, 2019 -
Technology segment lead Japanese stocks higher as poor earnings being shrugged off
Closely following the trend in the US, the Japanese stock market continued its march higher led by cyclicals, particularly technology and factory automation names which were severely sold off last year. Topix is trending…
January 27, 2019 -
Despite our short term optimism geopolitical risks remain elevated
Japanese stocks continued to rebound, with Topix having recovered by 10% from its late December lows. It has been an encouraging week in some ways as TSMC’s (2330) poor earnings was met with a…
January 20, 2019 -
Japan ends the year in bear market territory; Anxieties persists regarding trade and Fed policy mistakes
This will be our last weekly publication for 2018 and we at Asymmetric Advisors wish our readers happy holidays and a prosperous 2019. Now back to business: Japan’s stock market continued to follow…
December 22, 2018 -
We retain our negative stance on Japan as Topix breaks below key support line
With Japan’s Topix dropping below that psychological ¥1600 support and testing its crucial 200 week moving average of around ¥1570 level, any hopes for a year-end rally have all but evaporated. With Japan’s market remaining…
December 16, 2018 -
Difficult to see a sustained market rally given weak economic fundamentals and geopolitical uncertainties
As we highlighted last week, with stocks having had already staged a decent bounce on hopes for a positive outcome from US/China trade talks in the G20 summit, it was difficult to see…
December 9, 2018 -
We expect more uncertainties and weaker earnings going into next year
As generally anticipated, and in line with Trump’s play book, US has postponed plans to raise tariffs on Chinese imports by 90 days while China seems to have pledged to resume imports of US…
December 2, 2018 -
Ghosn’s arrest raises questions about Japan’s corporate governance; We expect a relief rally ahead of G20 summit
Topix continued to test its key psychological support line of ¥1600 level, but still trading above that important 200 weeks moving average line, now at Y1570 level. The Japanese stock market had grabbed much international attention…
November 25, 2018 -
Many global negative factors shift buy on dip strategies to sell on strength
Global events continued to dictate the direction of Japan’s stock markets as peaking US corporate earnings, less accommodative US monetary policy, slowing Chinese economic activity and continued concerns about the future of…
November 18, 2018 -
We view next term’s Japan corporate earnings forecasts as far too optimistic
With US stocks leading other markets, we have kept a close eye on the developments there as Japan’s corporate earnings have proved far from encouraging to expect any sort of decoupling. Thus, for this…
November 11, 2018
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