Weekly Thoughts

In the past week we have seen what could be best described as a ‘Black Swan’ event engulfing financial firms, sending tremors through global capital markets. Although what we had initially thought…

It was back in October 2021 when in one of our weekly publications, we addressed what we called the “elephant in the room” and the growing risks of tighter US technology export restriction to China…

With US long term treasury yields stabilising below 4% at the end of last week, global stock market breathed a sigh of relief while S&P staged a bounce on its key moving…

The first testimony in parliament by the incoming BOJ governor, Kazuo Ueda went reasonably well. He pledged his support for BOJ’s continued easing as one would have expected at his nomination hearing, showing…

This week we want to move away from BOJ’s regime change and our call for an end to Abenomics to address other key issues driving global markets. Most importantly, with US inflation…

We think government’s pick of Kazuo Ueda as the next BOJ chief spells the end to economic policies of the late Shinzo Abe and his Abenomics playbook. To be sure we think…

With PM Kishida set to decide on BOJ’s next governor this week, all eyes will be on who will succeed Kuroda-san whom we have long been highly critical of. Although we think…

While in the US, slower rise in inflation rate is fuelling hopes for more measured rate hikes by the Fed going forward, accelerated rise in inflation rate in Japan as underlined by…

US macro-economic data remain the dominant factor in determining short term stock market direction. Big swings in stocks have continued into this year with last Friday’s rally helping US stock market indices…

https://asymmetric-advisors.com/some-of-our-key-topdown-predictions-and-stock-calls-for-2023/ Although the last weekly publication (link above) was meant to be our last for 2022, BOJ’s yield curve control tweak last week was too important not to highlight to conclude our…