Weekly Thoughts
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Concerns about tail risks mounting but early signs for Omicron is encouraging
As we noted in our last publication, dark clouds are appearing for global stock markets for next year as the prospect of the US Fed pivoting towards a more hawkish stance looked…
December 5, 2021 -
Geopolitical uncertainties and inflationary pressures signal tough 2022 markets
Although the virtual summit between Mr Biden and Mr Xi seemed to lower tensions a notch, the ever more ambiguous US stance on Taiwan, renewed allegations of China’s human rights abuses, and…
November 21, 2021 -
Key topics dominating stock markets going into 2022
Climate goals, inflation, de-consolidation and geopolitics to dominate marketsWith Cop26 climate summit in Glasgow having reached its conclusion, we see a better framework in place to push listed firms to disclose their…
November 14, 2021 -
Japan stocks look poised for big year-end rally
US stock market melt-up leaves Japan poised to join the partyAlthough nothing has yet to manage to derail America’s booming stock market, at least now we are seeing very positive developments to…
November 7, 2021 -
Important near-term issues from Japan stock market participants lens
Keeping track on number of key near-term developments Going deep into the current earnings season next week, overlapped by the all-important Cop26 environmental summit in Glasgow and Japan’s Lower House elections due this…
October 30, 2021 -
The elephant in the room: Brewing cold war and huge risks facing tech firms
Strong signals for broadening tech export restrictions to China Although earnings season is upon us and this one should prove particularly tricky, the latest geopolitical developments are just too important not to address…
October 23, 2021 -
Why we think Japan will outperform other majors in Q4 and beyond
Japan and its deep cyclical/value names likely to outperformWe will keep this weekly update short as we switch to a bottom-up mode ahead of the earnings season which for three weeks a…
October 17, 2021 -
Our near term stock market strategy and key top-down views
Our top-down views and why we remain bullish JapanOur near-term top-down outlook is simply that as long as US long bond yields trend higher, Japan as one of the most cyclical stock markets…
October 10, 2021 -
Higher rates rattle markets while Japan’s LDP sticks with Abenomics
Higher rates rattle markets as economic activity slowsAlthough our bullish Japan stock market outlook is highly conditional on US longer term rates to be edging higher, the sudden spike in bond yields…
October 3, 2021 -
Japan stocks look poised for big gains in Q4 but China risks loom
As US rates head back up, Japan stocks look poised for further gainsHaving spelt out its plans to start its tapering before year-end and complete the program by middle of next year,…
September 25, 2021