Weekly Thoughts
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Geopolitical and regulatory hurdles leave tech stocks highly vulnerable
Market turmoil continued last week and although inflationary pressures dominated headlines, a potential Russian invasion of Ukraine and its impact on energy prices have not helped matters. Geopolitical and regulatory tensions with China…
February 19, 2022 -
BOJ’s coming battle to keep rates low to bring big shorting opportunity in JGBs
Last Thursday’s big announcement that BOJ will begin buying more longer-dated bonds to keep rates from rising, was largely overshadowed by headline inflation numbers in the US which once again surprised the…
February 12, 2022 -
Big PE compression of growth stocks looking likely; Short NT ratio call revisited
As we mentioned last week, with wage inflation running red hot, a breakout of the US 10-yr treasury yield above its technically crucial 200-wk moving average looked inevitable in the near term.…
February 5, 2022 -
JGB yields likely to follow US rates higher helping financial/cyclical stocks
Stock markets remained highly volatile with a negative bias clearly still in place as US Federal Reserve’s ever more hawkish posture is being digested. As we noted last week, strong earnings results…
January 30, 2022 -
Tin hat time as stock markets sell-off accelerates
US stock market turmoil continues as worries about the coming US rate hikes have led to further selling pressure in growth names and tech stocks which is weighing on overall sentiment. Dip-buyers…
January 22, 2022 -
Higher rates remain supportive of value stocks while semis look increasingly vulnerable to geopolitics
With inflationary expectations on the rise, growth stocks remain under selling pressure while cyclical/value plays continue to outperform. Although this development is well within our 2022 playbook, we remain highly vigilant of…
January 15, 2022 -
Asymmetric Weekly: A rocky start to 2022 but Japan still looking good as rates rise
https://asymmetric-advisors.com/some-key-developments-we-anticipate-for-2022/ Among a short list of 2022 potential developments which we outlined in our last weekly publication late last month (link above), we have argued for US long term rates to climb…
January 9, 2022 -
Some key developments we anticipate for 2022
In this last weekly publication for the year, we address some of key developments that we anticipate for 2022 which we believe are worth underlining as we approach the year-end. 1) To…
December 19, 2021 -
Concerns about tail risks mounting but early signs for Omicron is encouraging
As we noted in our last publication, dark clouds are appearing for global stock markets for next year as the prospect of the US Fed pivoting towards a more hawkish stance looked…
December 5, 2021 -
Geopolitical uncertainties and inflationary pressures signal tough 2022 markets
Although the virtual summit between Mr Biden and Mr Xi seemed to lower tensions a notch, the ever more ambiguous US stance on Taiwan, renewed allegations of China’s human rights abuses, and…
November 21, 2021
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